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Saskia van der Berg | Writer at horse-racing.tips
Saskia van der Berg

Saskia van der Berg

Horse Racing Tips specialist Considered, form-literate, unhurried 13 years

I came to racing through the Dutch tracks and the long flat gallops of the surrounding countryside, where my grandfather would talk me through a card hours before the first runner went down to post. He never bet to chase a winner; he bet to test whether he'd read the race right. That distinction โ€” process over result โ€” is the thing I carried into everything I write now. My work is patient form study above all else. I want to know how the ground is riding on the day, where the early speed has drawn and how that should shape the tempo, whether the trip and surface genuinely suit, and the trainer and jockey patterns that sit underneath the bare form lines. I lean heavily toward each-way and place value, because across a full season a properly mispriced runner pays far better than a short one that only looks secure. Thirteen years in, I have a healthy respect for how much luck rides on a single race โ€” a slow break, a wide trip, trouble in running at the worst moment. So I anchor to a sound process and a fair price, and I would always rather explain why a horse appeals than promise you a winner I can't guarantee. โ€” Saskia van der Berg

Pages by Saskia van der Berg 11

Tips Tapeta or Polytrack: Which All-Weather Track Suits Favourites?

Tapeta or Polytrack: Which All-Weather Track Suits Favourites?

Favourites won 33.3% on both Tapeta and Polytrack, but returns split sharply by course, from +0.6% at Kempton to โˆ’12.4% at Chelmsford City.

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Tips All-Weather vs Turf: Are Flat Favourites More Reliable on Synthetics?

All-Weather vs Turf: Are Flat Favourites More Reliable on Synthetics?

Flat favourites won 33.3% on the all-weather and 32.9% on turf in UK and Irish racing, a gap too small to trust, and synthetics paid back less.

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Tips Clockwise or Anticlockwise: Australian Metro Tracks Compared

Clockwise or Anticlockwise: Australian Metro Tracks Compared

Australian metro favourites won 33.4% on clockwise tracks and 33.9% on anticlockwise ones, a gap too small to justify betting on direction alone.

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Tips Left-Handed vs Right-Handed Racecourses: Do Favourites Win More?

Left-Handed vs Right-Handed Racecourses: Do Favourites Win More?

Favourites won 36.5% on right-handed UK and Irish tracks against 35.4% left-handed, but the market prices track direction almost fully.

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Tips What a Jockey Does When the Planned Lane Never Opens

What a Jockey Does When the Planned Lane Never Opens

A phase-by-phase look at how a jockey reacts when a planned run is blocked, from conserving momentum to switching, rebalancing and finishing.

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Tips How a Wide Runner Crosses, Settles and Saves Ground

How a Wide Runner Crosses, Settles and Saves Ground

A phase-by-phase look at how a horse drawn wide can leave the stalls, cross safely, settle into rhythm and avoid covering unnecessary ground.

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Tips From Final Bend to Finish: Anatomy of a Late Run

From Final Bend to Finish: Anatomy of a Late Run

Follow the position, balance, energy and jockey decisions that turn a horse's final-bend setup into a late run for the finishing line.

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Tips First Furlong Anatomy: How a Horse Race Takes Shape

First Furlong Anatomy: How a Horse Race Takes Shape

A first-furlong anatomy of the break, early acceleration, rider decisions, settling process and handoff into the next phase of a horse race.

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Tips The Mid-Race Lull: Saving Energy Before the Final Turn

The Mid-Race Lull: Saving Energy Before the Final Turn

A phase-by-phase anatomy of the mid-race lull, explaining how pace, cover, position and restraint prepare a horse for the final turn.

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Tips From Clean Break to Racing Position: The Decision Window

From Clean Break to Racing Position: The Decision Window

A phase-by-phase analysis of how a horse moves from a clean break to a settled racing position through balance, pace reading and rider execution.

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Tips Horse Racing Results Today

Horse Racing Results Today

Horse racing tips and results reading form, going and pace, with a focus on each-way value.

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